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CFOZone Experts
Opinions and views from expert CFOZone members.
Tag >> consumer spending
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Posted by Ron F in Tax, TARP, recovery, recession, economy, demand, default, consumer spending, Congress, cash management, cash concerns, Cash, Carmen Reinhart, Careers/Management, capital expenditures, capex, Banks
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A survey released today by the Association of Financial Professionals will do nothing to dampen the austerity versus stimulus debate. To wit: Forty-three percent of US corporations had larger US cash and short-term investment holdings this May than they did six months earlier. Only 24 percent of respondents reported that their short-term holdings had shrunk during the past six months.
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Posted by Ron F in unemployment, Spending, Risk, recovery, recession, Obama, jobs, joblessness, global economy, Germany, economy, demand, consumer spending, climate change, clean energy, Careers/Management, carbon emissions, Capital, cap and trade, Barry Ritholtz, alternative energy
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At long last, one writer has seriously addressed the potential problems with more stimulus spending. (I sent Paul Krugman a question about this more than a week ago, via a comment on his blog, but from what I can see he has yet to address it. And Dean Baker too easily dismisses the issue, in my opinion.) The problem is not the federal budget deficit, not at least in the short term, but the potential political fallout from bad decision making. That way, says Steve Randy Waldman, indeed lay a possible US currency crisis. And this is ultimately where Friedrich Hayek and his associates were coming from in blaming Weimar for the disasters that followed.
Are consumers about to go on a shopping spree or do they prefer to squirrel away their money until the economy improves? This is a critical question, since consumers account for about 70 percent of the overall economy.
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Posted by Ron F in workers, outsourcing, offshore, Malaysia, emerging markets, economy, earnings, demand, costs, cost reduction, cost cutting, consumer spending, China, Careers/Management
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Rising labor strife in China has potentially significant implications for US companies and financial markets. The irony is that what companies want isn't necessarily the same thing that markets do. Yves Smith over at Naked Capitalism does a good job of explaining why.
Talk about accentuating the positive. This Reuters report just about takes the cake. It's also a complete jumble of contradictory data. So rather than pick it up, I've decided to "Fisk" it, which is Webspeak for inserting snarky comments into someone else's text and comes from the name of Iraq war critic and journalist Robert Fisk, whose brilliant work generated lots of such treatment on right-wing sites back in the day. We'll see if Reuters complains about my application of the technique on its material.
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Posted by Ron F in unemployment, jobs, joblessness, health care, General Electric, GE, employment, economy, cost reduction, consumer spending, construction, China, Careers/Management, bubbles, Accounting
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By this point, press cheerleading for the economy is hardly newsworthy, and I'm not the first to notice the latest example. But the down-is-up spin on Caterpillar's results cannot escape mention. As the Business Insider notes, the Bloomberg story is tame by comparison with the ravings on CNBC yesterday.
A slew of companies posted disappointing quarterly results this week with reasons as varied as the weather, raw material costs or simply a lack of growth. The companies have one thing in common, though: They all rely on consumer spending. Kimberly-Clark, the maker of Kleenex and Huggies diapers, earned $384 million in the first quarter, down from $407 million a year ago, due to higher costs for raw materials, especially pulp and and oil-based materials.
This is at least the second piece by Floyd Norris of the New York Times in the past three or four months suggesting the recovery may be stronger than pessimists believe it will be, based on comparisons with previous recoveries. I take all his points, but it seems to me he's missing an important difference between this recession and other post-World War II downturns. This is the first since the Great Depression to be associated with a financial crisis.
Let's face it. Americans are consumers, not savers. It only took the worst economic crisis since the depression to convince many profligate spenders to cut back and only use the money they have. As a result, Americans began to save like the Japanese.
Two stories today say it all about the status of the economic recovery: Wall Street's doing fine, so who cares about Main Street? Or at least that's the way the world seems to appear based on Bloomberg's reporting.
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