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CFOs get bad case of tunnel vision Print E-mail
Monday, 19 October 2009

By John Goff

By almost all reckoning, the current economic catastrophe was triggered by excessive risk-taking. That risk-taking was fueled by greed and enabled by a feeble, self-regulatory scheme.

Well, you can’t do much about greed. And remarkably, it appears that finance executives don’t seem all that interested in attempts to overhaul the regulatory setup.

Case in point: while attending a recent conference run by Big Four audit firm Deloitte, 120 or so leading CFOs were asked what public policy issues the Administration should focus on. Fully 43 percent of the finance chiefs answered ‘ending the recession.’ Reforming the messed-up financial system -- the putative cause of that recession --  didn’t even come in second on their list. Tax reform was. Indeed, slightly more finance chiefs (19 percent) said the White House should focus first and foremost on tax reform than on fixing the financial system (18 percent).

“The past few years were all about excess — now we have to get fit,” said Mark A. Buthman, senior vice president and CFO of Kimberly-Clark and an attendee at the conference. “We have to stay on top of basics like expenses, liquidity and debt ratings to be in shape so that we can be agile enough to take advantage of opportunities to grow our business.”

Granted, CFOs are in the budgeting and planning business. They tend to take a long-term, macroeconomic view of things. And they don’t like surprises.

But the view that public-policy makers should attempt to treat economic symptoms -- and not the underlying causes of those symptoms -- seems like a bad case of tunnel vision.

When asked about what most concerned them, a third of the CFOs told Deloitte they were worried sick about the shape of the economic recovery. Many said they were fearful the recovery would resemble a ‘W.’ Others are more concerned about an L-shaped recovery -- that is, one that’s marred by stagflation.

Far fewer CFOs said they were most worried about health-care costs – even though medical costs are becoming a larger and larger driver of both government debt and inflation. And when finance chiefs say they want the government to focus on tax reform, the odds are good they’re either talking simplification of the code or tax breaks for businesses. Neither would seem to be particularly helpful in reducing the inflation engine known as the government deficit.

One side note: more than half of the surveyed CFOs expect improved business conditions in 2010. But some finance chiefs said they’re concerned about the possible permanent destruction of industrial and consumer demand.

That would be quite a legacy for a financial services industry that was allowed to operate unchecked.

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